prices have been published for every race by the TAB
TABCORP a private company in operation since most State Governments handed over the State Totalisers to big business.
I recall the squeals from the TAB at the time when they were obliged by competition to offer fixed price betting now a daily operation, requiring a teams of analysts, a large salary bill. If the laws around gambling in NSW have any substance then these prices have to be offered to proscribed sums of money. These analysts are the best so if the punter is attempting to make the game pay that is not a possibility.
As the most experienced horse rater in the world still possessing a razor sharp ‘bacon rind’ You can compete if you have over 60 years of mindless numbers thinking.
I have been documenting a selection of long shot tips since a few months back. They are not going so well. From the outset let me say analyzing any one 14 horse race should take a long time. Possibly less than an hour but certainly well over 20 minutes. I am playing around using some of the rules I have learned over the years. Little time is given to the selections they are for my benefit to keep me honest. But if cannot earn coin? Sooner or later we will get serious as my development around my analyzing software package takes place. The point being that value could exist in Port Hedland rather than Melbourne and you would have to use a computer analysis to determine if mistakes are possible and have been made by the analysts mentioned prior.
Callers in Australian Racing use the expression ‘despised outsider’. Such a description might have been given to STEVEN NOBLE. One winner and a placed horse from 2 makes me think the corner been turned his winner 27-1 has BLUE POINT breeding well done to him he is buying well, may the good form continue
RI
Racing Australia has a good website and quality race vision for those tracks covered by agreements, yesterday they fired another shot at promoting the notion of a combined TAB pool countrywide. My limited knowledge of the constituents of such a mix extends to the facts that Tabcorp allow clients to have accounts for at least 3 state jurisdictions in Australia NSW, QNS and VIC. Western Australia has a jurisdiction for a Parimutuel betting system sitting outside the control of Tabcorp. In the article published this week on the RA website the word of influence used was LIQUIDITY. For those asking the question my understanding of liquidity can be exemplified by the Betfair page on the betting for the Soccer World Cup to be finalised this weekend, where there is a history of nearly $23 million AUD being bet on the event which can now only go to Spain or Argentina since all the bets on the other teams have been nominally settled. Bear in mind that the pool is made up by bets to win and bets to lose. It is difficult for me to deduce whether that 23 million dollars has been bet since the finalists were known or over the history of betting on this site for this event. Nonetheless it says in practice you can make a single bet of $60,000 at 2.4 on Argentina and that price is unaffected by any other bets. That is real liquidity. In Japan that liquidity exists on weekend racing. It does not exist in Australia outside of the Melbourne Cup. In the biggest race each Saturday the pool on the 3 TABs is lucky to go beyond $250,000 The RA has given no persuading argument for that proposed liquidity. For a $1000 bettor his even money selection holds up, for a $25,000 bettor that stake represents a change in the evens probability affecting the return. If the selection were 20-1 there would be a marginal change for a $1000 bet and a significant returns loss for a $25,000 bet. For the $100 bettor the improvement in liquidity would not put tears in your eyes. We would have to believe that consolidation means everything to Tabcorp’s cost structures little to any type of Australian punter and removes almost the single attraction of the designed to lose TAB system of the chance that the parimutuel State by State payout exceeds the fixed odds available for the selection.
w3in profit
place profit
wins count
places
selections
updated
-95.2
-55.3
5
25
172
17/7/2026…09:22
“Via Sistina near best horse import to Australia, just below Europe’s top half dozen… but did cost over $6 million AUD. The same buyer bought Alcohol Free for double that sum but she remained unsung. a tale of luck for Waller not so for Gai. V. S. Prize money in Australia more than auction outlay. But she really struggled to win in 2025 and the amateurs at Longines have included her in World Ratings again at a reduced rating from the home hype she was given when winning by lengths.”
